Page 1
An Opinion Poll On Peace
Peace Confidence Index (P
TOP-LINE RESULTS
© 2003 Social Indicator ● Centre for Po

pinion Poll On Peace
ace Confidence Index (PCI)
TOP-LINE RESULTS
Social Indicator
ndicator ● Centre for Policy Alternatives
May 2003

Page 2
W
hile many studies have been conducted this conflict, none have attempted to public perception over a period of time. The la identified as a significant void by Social Indicator unit of the Centre for Policy Alternatives (CPA). Index study (PCI) seeks to fill this lacuna. The Canadian International Development Agency Governance and Institutional Strengthening Proje be conducted bi-monthly to gauge the impact of political developments on public attitudes toward

W
es have been conducted on various aspects of ne have attempted to capture the changes in period of time. The lack of such a study was void by Social Indicator (SI), the social research olicy Alternatives (CPA). The Peace Confidence to fill this lacuna. The study, funded by the Development Agency (CIDA) under the onal Strengthening Project, (GISP) Sri Lanka, will y to gauge the impact of local and international
public attitudes towards the peace process.

Page 3
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
CONTENTS
• I
NTRODUCTION
• K
EY
N
ATIONAL AND
I
NTERNATIONAL
D
EVELO
• F
INDINGS AT A GLANCE
• P
EACE
(PCI) T
OP
C
ONFIDENCE
I
NDEX -L
INE
R
ESULTS
PERCEPTIONS OF WAR AND PEACE
SOLUTIONS TO THE CONFLICT
CONFIDENCE
THE PEACE PROCESS
I
NTERNATIONAL
F
ACILITATION
N
ORWEGIAN
T
HIRD
P
ARTY
F
ACILITATION
I
NDIA
I
NVOLVEMENT
• R
ECENT
’
S
P
OLITICAL
D
EVELOPMENTS
SRI LANKA MONITORING MISSION
LTTE
F
EDERAL
S
OLUTION
T
HE
M
USLIM
C
OMMUNITY
V
IOLENCE IN
M
UTTUR
CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT
COHABITATION
• A
NNEX

ex
01 RNATIONAL
D
EVELOPMENTS
02 07 X
(PCI) 11
ND PEACE 11
NFLICT 15
17
21
P
ARTY
F
ACILITATION
22
ION
23
25
OPMENTS
26
MISSION 26
33
36
Y
37
40
46
47
3

Page 4
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-line Results
INTRODUCTION
OBJECTIVE
The purpose of this study is two-fold. One is to develop a n
public confidence in the peace process using a set of stand
unchanged with each wave. The other is to use a set of q
economic and political developments in order to gauge pub
which by definition will change from one wave to another.
Such information, collected over a period of time, will provide
useful barometer of the opinions of the Sri Lankan polity
opinions of the public are given due importance and incorpora
SCOPE & METHODOLOGY
The study is carried out using a structured questionnaire a
interviews amongst a 1,321 respondent sample. The 15 adm
provinces, excluding the Northern and the Eastern province
control of the Amparai, Batticaloa, Trincomalee and Vavuniy
and Hambantota districts were not surveyed in this wave due
Data is weighted to reflect the actual ethnographic composi
sample was surveyed.
Twelve waves of the PCI study were conducted in May, June
and January, March, May, July, September, November 2002 a
latest wave was conducted in May 2003. This publication pre
the May 2003 survey.
The results of these thirteen waves offer us data for a com
opinion regarding key issues, ranging from perceptions of war
the LTTE. The results are subject to a 3% margin of error.

Page 1
INTRODUCTION
. One is to develop a numerical indicator of the level of
ess using a set of standardised questions which remain
her is to use a set of questions related to recent social,
in order to gauge public opinion of the peace process,
ne wave to another.
riod of time, will provide civil society and policy makers a
f the Sri Lankan polity, and ensure that the collective
portance and incorporated into the policy debate.
uctured questionnaire administered through face-to-face
ent sample. The 15 administrative districts of the seven
nd the Eastern provinces, and areas under Government
rincomalee and Vavuniya were surveyed. The Ratnapura
urveyed in this wave due to the prevailing flood situation.
al ethnographic composition of the districts in which the
conducted in May, June, September and November 2001
ber, November 2002 and January and March 2003. The
003. This publication presents only the top-line results of
offer us data for a comparative study on changing public
from perceptions of war and peace to the proscription of
3% margin of error.

Page 5
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
KEY NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENTS APRIL 2
• Representatives from the LTTE and the Muslim community harmonise the interests of the Tamil and Muslim commun under discussion was the paddy lands owned by (www.lankapage.com)
• The Eelam People's Democratic Party (EPDP) severely crit Mission (SLMM) for their 'open verdicts' on sea (www.lankapage.com)
• The need for independent Muslim representation at the fo Muslim leaders and endorsed by the President. The issue organisations from the North East called on President Ch 2003)-(www.lankapage.com)
• The LTTE accuses the United States of trying to underm excluding them from a key aid meeting in Washington. "R effort (with the government) by isolating the LTTE and so the LTTE says an LTTE statement. (4 April 2003)-(Daily Mirr
• The government indicates it would be seeking changes to Cabinet spokesman Prof. G.L. Peiris addressing a news co government thought it would be good to make changes in that while provisions covering the land areas were satisfacto in the sea and adds that there was a necessity for a detail there was a greater need for maintenance of rules of eng monitoring missions. (4 April 2003)-(Daily Mirror)
• The World Bank's pledge of a US dollar 800 million loan for
• Proposals to reconstruct the Chavakachcheri town in The tabled today at a conference attended by the Regional Dire unit of the Urban Development Authority (UDA) (www.tamilnet.com)
• PA MP Mangala Samaraweera, addressing a media briefing y returns to power would Prof. G.L. Peiris be arrested for t The United States Commander of the Pacific Air Force, G four-day visit. The General, who reportedly flew to Ratmal goodwill visit to several countries in the region. http://www.army.lk/press_release/2003/04/03_1019.htm)
• Navy Commander Vice Admiral Daya Sandagiri is convince the navy off Mullaitivu last month was sent down to the bo must have opened the vessel's sea valves to take in sea w 2003)-(The Island)
• The Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission (SLMM) refutes allegatio information from the government and LTTE had made it im a Chinese fishing trawler or the abortive assault on the state to blame is the SLMM," says Pekka Vihervas, SLMM legal adv
• The Upcountry People's Front (UPF), a constituent party today morning picketed in front of the Fort railway statio present peace process and condemning the activities (www.tamilnet.com)
• The LTTE is joining the Sri Lanka Human Rights Comm Northern and Eastern Provinces. The LTTE came to an agr during the fifth and sixth rounds of peace talks h (www.lankapage.com)
• The A9 highway to Jaffna will be open for public traffic (www.tamilnet.com)
• The Eelam People's Democratic Party (EPDP) has written t the LTTE of being responsible for the murder of one of (www.colombopage.com)
• The Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission (SLMM) and the LTTE o local heads of Sri Lankan Government armed forces on Apr south of Trincomalee town, to sort out the problem that ha crossing through the army controlled areas to LTTE con (www.tamilnet.com)
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003

Page Index
2
DEVELOPMENTS APRIL 2003-MAY 2003
the Muslim community met in Batticaloa recently to discuss ways to mil and Muslim communities. LTTE sources say that the main issue dy lands owned by Muslims in the East. (3 April 2003)-
arty (EPDP) severely criticizes the role of the Sri Lankan Monitoring en verdicts' on sea attacks by the LTTE. (3 April 2003)-
representation at the forthcoming peace talks has been stressed by he President. The issue was raised when representatives of Muslim t called on President Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga. (4 April
tes of trying to undermine their peace bid with the government by eting in Washington. "Regrettably the US has undermined the joint olating the LTTE and solely promoting the Sri Lankan government," (4 April 2003)-(Daily Mirror) ld be seeking changes to the Ceasefire Agreement with the LTTE. is addressing a news conference after the Cabinet meeting says the ood to make changes in some areas of the agreement. He maintains land areas were satisfactory there was uncertainty about the situation s a necessity for a detailed document covering the sea area. He said ntenance of rules of engagement and a further strengthening of the )-(Daily Mirror)
ollar 800 million loan for development. (4 April 2003)-(The Island) vakachcheri town in Thenmaradchchi division in Jaffna district were ded by the Regional Director General of the Planning and Operation nt Authority (UDA) Mr. K. V. Dharmasiri. (4 April 2003)-
ressing a media briefing yesterday, said that no sooner than his party . Peiris be arrested for treason. (4 April 2003)-(www.lankapage.com) the Pacific Air Force, General William J. Begert, is in Sri Lanka on a eportedly flew to Ratmalana in his own aircraft "Gulf Stream", is on a tries in the region. (4 April 2003)-(www.lankapage.com and 2003/04/03_1019.htm)
aya Sandagiri is convinced that a Tiger-owned tanker intercepted by was sent down to the bottom of the sea by flooding the ship. "They valves to take in sea water to flood the tanker," he says. (5 April
(SLMM) refutes allegations of bias and says that sharply contradicting and LTTE had made it impossible to verify either the recent attack on ortive assault on the state-operated Lanka Muditha. "The easiest party Vihervas, SLMM legal adviser. (5 April 2003)-(The Island) PF), a constituent party of the ruling United National Front (UNF) f the Fort railway station, in the heart of Colombo, supporting the demning the activities of anti-peace elements. (5 April 2003)-
a Human Rights Commission to protect human resources in the he LTTE came to an agreement with the government on this matter nds of peace talks held recently in Japan. (5 April 2003)-
open for public traffic on Sundays, starting today. (6 April 2003)-
rty (EPDP) has written to the Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission accusing the murder of one of its members at Soorawatha. (7 April 2003)-
(SLMM) and the LTTE on April 3 agreed to hold a meeting with the ent armed forces on April 21 at the no-man zone in the Muttur area, t out the problem that has arisen over the question of LTTE members lled areas to LTTE controlled areas, sources say. (8 April 2003)-
3

Page 6
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
• The Tamil National Alliance (TNA) on April 10 reiterated it Lanka Army should not be allowed to establish or reloca populated places in the Northeast province, TNA parliamenta a press release. (10 April 2003)-(http://news.tamilnet.com/art.h
• Minister of Transportation of Government of Sri Lanka inaugurated the Polannaruwa to Batticaloa train service Satur from Batticaloa town, sources in Batticaloa said. Recent comp track from Valaichenai to Batticaloa paved the way for the service. (12 April 2003)-(http://news.tamilnet.com/art.html?arti
• Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage opened an inter 14 at the State Department by calling for international supp Lanka. (15 April 2003)-(http://www.peaceinsrilanka.org/)
• Police imposed a night curfew in the crisis ridden Muttur ar three people being killed and at lease eight injured in a clash said. They said that at about 5. 30 pm a large number of ar opened fire and clashed at another group in the Maliyathivu ar
• Two Sinhalese youths alleged to have been abducted by some returned home, according to police sources. (19 April 2003)-(n
• As the situation in Muttur was brought under control, th summoned the LTTE for a meeting with local community arranging a larger meeting of the LTTE hierarchy and govern East security issues. (19 April 2003)-(Sunday Observer)
• The Head of Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission (SLMM), retired No has proposed that the Government "recognise the LTTE demarcate areas at sea for "live firing exercises" by them. "Fo confidence-building measure," he has also proposed that the "should permit observers from the other party onboard the training." (20 April 2003)-(Sunday Times and http://www.peace
• The International Monetary Fund's (IMF) Executive Board on equivalent to one hundred per cent of quota for Sri Lanka program for 2003-2006. Effective immediately, the Sri Lankan (20 April 2003)-(Sunday Observer)
• The entire Trincomalee district has been brought under twe p.m., April 6. The curfew was imposed following violent incide and now been brought under night curfew as a precaution groups, according to Police sources. (20 April 2003)-(www.tam
• President Chandrika Kumaratunga said today her governmen decades of bloodshed had brought some positive developme some positive developments in the ongoing peace process l longest time...," Ms. Kumaratunga told reporters before endin April 2003)-(AFP / Daily Mirror)
• Representatives of the LTTE and Majlis Al Shura of Muttur di in the aim of diffusing tension in the area. The Trincomalee Mission says in a release that the parties met today to (www.lankapage.com)
• LTTE chief negotiator Anton Balasingham says at a rally in Ge administration in the areas controlled by them and his or homeland and have their own judiciary, police, administratio April 2003)-(The Island)
• LTTE chief negotiator Anton Balasingham appeals to Swiss Lanka until a final solution was reached to the problem. (21 Ap
• The LTTE leadership informs the government that it has d peace negotiations "for the time being". (21 April 2003)-(www
• The LTTE agrees to ensure the security of the Muslim people the decisions reached at a meeting between the LTTE, Muslim tension in Muttur area. (21 April 2003)-(Daily News)
• The SLMM asserts that the suspension of peace talks will ha between the GOSL and the LTTE. The LTTE peace secretaria that the LTTE will be continuing with the CFA irrespective o Ceasefire is still in force" SLMM spokesman Teitur Torkelsson
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003

Page Index
3
on April 10 reiterated its stand to the Prime Minister that the Sri to establish or relocate its camps and main bases in densely ovince, TNA parliamentary group leader, Mr. R. Sampanthan, said in ://news.tamilnet.com/art.html?artid=8719&catid=13) vernment of Sri Lanka, Minister Upali Piyasoma ceremonially icaloa train service Saturday morning easing transportation to and ticaloa said. Recent completion to repairs of the final stretch of the paved the way for the opening of the Polannaruwa to Batticaloa .tamilnet.com/art.html?artid=8762&catid=13)
rmitage opened an international conference on Sri Lanka on April ng for international support for the "momentum of peace" in Sri eaceinsrilanka.org/)
crisis ridden Muttur area last night as the tension escalated with eight injured in a clash at Maliyathivu in Toppur, security sources m a large number of armed men alleged to be LTTE cadres had oup in the Maliyathivu area. (17 April 2003)-(Daily Mirror)
been abducted by some unidentified persons few weeks ago have ources. (19 April 2003)-(news.tamilnet.com) ought under control, the Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission (SLMM) with local community leaders to settle the problem and is also TE hierarchy and government security officials to iron out North - (Sunday Observer)
ssion (SLMM), retired Norwegian Major General Tryggve Teleffsen, t "recognise the LTTE Sea Tigers as a de facto naval unit" and exercises" by them. "For mutual trust and understanding and as a also proposed that the Sri Lanka Navy and the LTTE Sea Tigers other party onboard their vessels whilst conducting exercises and
es and http://www.peaceinsrilanka.org/) MF) Executive Board on Friday approved a US $ 567 million credit t of quota for Sri Lanka, to support the government's economic mediately, the Sri Lankan government will receive US$ 81 million.
been brought under twelve-hour police curfew with effect from 7 d following violent incidents at Jamaliya area, suburb of Trincomalee curfew as a precautionary measure to prevent clashes between (20 April 2003)-(www.tamilnet.com)
id today her government's peace talks with the LTTE to end three ome positive developments and should continue. "There has been ongoing peace process like the LTTE staying at the table for the d reporters before ending a two-day official visit to Bangladesh. (21
jlis Al Shura of Muttur division have come to a common agreement area. The Trincomalee District office of the Sri Lanka Monitoring parties met today to discuss these issues. (21 April 2003)-
ham says at a rally in Geneva recently that the LTTE has a de-facto ed by them and his organisation is in control of 3/4th of their iary, police, administration and law enforcement mechanisms. (21
gham appeals to Swiss govt. to not to send refugees back to Sri d to the problem. (21 April 2003)-(The Island) vernment that it has decided to suspend its participation in the g". (21 April 2003)-(www.tamilnet.com/The Island)
ity of the Muslim people in areas under its control. This was among etween the LTTE, Muslim representatives and the SLMM to defuse 3)-(Daily News) on of peace talks will have no impact of the Ceasefire Agreement he LTTE peace secretariat chief Pulithevan had informed the SLMM h the CFA irrespective of the suspension of the peace talks. "The esman Teitur Torkelsson says. (22 April 2003)-(Daily News)
3

Page 7
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
• France has asked LTTE and the GOSL to overcome their backed peace talks, the French embassy here April 22. spokesperson as saying that France deplored the announceme suspended peace negotiations with GOSL. (2 http://www.ptd.net/webnews/wed/do/Qsrilanka-tamil-france.Rq
• The LTTE today postponed the meeting of the Sub- Rehabilitation Needs (SIHRN) scheduled for this week, to "a matters ... of resettlement and rehabilitation of Internally Di 2003)-(www.tamilnet.com)
• Tamil Tigers decide to boycott a crucial panel on humanitar backed peace talks between the rebels and the Sri Lankan go Eelam, which suspended peace talks with the Sri Lankan gove boycott the Sub-committee on Immediate Humanitarian Reha (PTI http://www.ptinews.com/nextstory.asp?main=Internationa
• Exerting pressure on the LTTE to renounce separatism and r States today slammed it for "prolonging the conflict" by Countering the LTTE at its basics, the U.S. envoy to Sri Lanka and armed cadre are not protecting Tamil rights; they are pr when Tamils can live in truly peaceful conditions". (24 Ap Island/Daily Mirror/ www.theacademic.org)
• About 500 Buddhist monks lifted their blockade of Norway were allowed to submit a letter detailing their worries a between GOSL and LTTE. (24 April 2003)-(AP/www.theacadem
• A total of 55 persons from 20 families in the general area o Mannar have vacated their houses and taken refuge elsewhere a Tamil person died of injuries on 20 April 2003 around 7.00 those Muslim families have begun thus vacating in fear of repri their dwelling places by an unidentified group of men who s Island)
• The eastern town of Muttur has now turned into a "Refug families are now stranded in places of religious worship. (24 Ap
• Sri Lankan President Chandrika Kumaratunga has told 'India T of government, she would continue the peace process, mayb 2003)-(www.lankapage.com)
• Mahanayake of the Asgiriya Chapter, Ven. Udugama Sri Budd suspension claim by the LTTE on the peace process was a wil President and the Prime Minister were engaged in a sincere a (The Island)
• The SLMM has withdrawn proposals to the GOSL to "recogni LTTE and demarcate areas at sea for "live firing exercises" for
• Lingasamy Devarasa, a former LTTE cadre, was shot dead by t at Pepiliyana, Kohuwela, today night. (26 April 2003)-(www.lan
• Economics Reform Minister, Milinda Moragoda, refuses to tak the LTTE had breached his trust, a source close to (Reuters/http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/COL3596
• The government makes a goodwill gesture towards the LTTE announcing that the High Security Zone (HSZ) around the Gn relocated to the Jaffna Fort area. (28 April 2003)-(www.lankapa
• On May 1 the US, expressing guarded optimism that surro (George) Bush administration would continue to designate th until it unequivocally renounces terrorism in both word an News)
• The JVP will unconditionally support the President if she takes process that the LTTE and the government are engaged in leader of JVP at its May Day Rally. (1 May 2003)-(The Island on
• LTTE on May 1 rejected GOSL offer to relocate some of its stalled peace talks. (2 May 2003)-(Reuters/The Island)
• The LTTE has proposed four amendments to the exist amendments which envisaged changes relating to problems in A-9 and the Powers of the Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission (S ambassador by LTTE's Thamilselvan at a three-hour long meet
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003

Page Index
4
SL to overcome their differences and resume their Norwegian- bassy here April 22. The embassy quoted a foreign ministry eplored the announcement LTTE's April 21 by the LTTE that it had with GOSL. (22 April 2003)-(Prolog/AFP and /Qsrilanka-tamil-france.RqBe_DAO.html on 24 April 2003)
meeting of the Sub-committee on Immediate Humanitarian uled for this week, to "await action and implementation on urgent ilitation of Internally Displaced People and of refugees." (23 April
ucial panel on humanitarian issues, set up as part of the Norway- els and the Sri Lankan government. The Liberation Tigers of Tamil with the Sri Lankan government on Monday, said it will indefinitely diate Humanitarian Rehabilitation Needs (SIHRN). (24 April 2003)- ory.asp?main=International&ID=745&rec=none)
nounce separatism and return to the negotiating table, the United onging the conflict" by "pursuing a violent, separatist agenda". e U.S. envoy to Sri Lanka, Ashley Wills, said: "The LTTE's weapons Tamil rights; they are prolonging this conflict and delaying the day eful conditions". (24 April 2003)-(The Hindu (International)/The ic.org)
eir blockade of Norway's embassy in Colombo today, after they etailing their worries about the Norwegian-brokered cease-fire 2003)-(AP/www.theacademic.org) ies in the general area of Veppankulam, about 27 km southeast of d taken refuge elsewhere after an alleged shooting incident in which April 2003 around 7.00 p.m. Information received confirmed that s vacating in fear of reprisals and also due to destruction of some of ied group of men who stormed their village. (24 April 2003)-(The
w turned into a "Refugee Camp" as countless Tamil and Muslim f religious worship. (24 April 2003)-(Ravaya of April 25) aratunga has told 'India Today' on April 24 that if she had the reins the peace process, maybe differently and more efficiently. (25 April
Ven. Udugama Sri Buddharakkitha Thero said on April 23 that the peace process was a wilful act to evade responsibility at a time the re engaged in a sincere attempt to restore peace. (25 April 2003)-
to the GOSL to "recognize sea tigers as a de facto naval unit" of the "live firing exercises" for them. (26 April 2003)-(Sunday Times) adre, was shot dead by three suspected LTTE pistol gang members (26 April 2003)-(www.lankapage.com) Moragoda, refuses to take part further in suspended peace talks as t, a source close to the negotiator says. (27 April 2003)- news/newsdesk/COL35968.htm) sture towards the LTTE to lure it back into resuming peace talks by ne (HSZ) around the Gnanam and Subash Hotels in Jaffna would be April 2003)-(www.lankapage.com on April 29) ed optimism that surrounded Lanka peace process, says that the continue to designate the LTTE as a foreign terrorist organization rorism in both word and deed. (1 May 2003)-(Daily Mirror/Daily
the President if she takes the bold step of halting the Eelam building ernment are engaged in together says Somawansa Amarasinghe, May 2003)-(The Island on May 4)
to relocate some of its troops in Jaffna deepening a standoff over uters/The Island)
endments to the existing ceasefire agreement. The proposed s relating to problems in North East sea area, high security zones, a Monitoring Mission (SLMM) were forwarded to the Norwegian t a three-hour long meeting. (2 May 2003)-(The Island) 3

Page 8
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
• EPDP demands that the government either protect the party can defend itself against the LTTE, according to a (AP/www.theacademic.org)
• The head of truce monitors Retired Norwegian Maj. Gen. Tri confine its exercises, particularly live firing, to specified area areas for Sea Tigers for training and live firing after repeating facto naval unit. "No detections or inspections of Sea Tiger v Navy in these carved out areas without SLMM monitors. In will be “no go” zones unless the monitors are Times/http://www.gulf-news.com/Articles/news.asp?ArticleID=
• Some civilians in Jaffna today morning picketed the entrance (SLA) soldiers and Police from clearing the area outside the J Jaffna garrison of the SLA. The Jaffna District Peoples Organiz organized the picketing campaign. (5 May 2003)-(www.tamilnet
• Minister of Communications Imithiyas Bakeer Makar says tha from June 2003. He said this at the opening ceremony of the 2003)-(www.lankapage.com)
• President Chandrika Kumaratunga has written to Prime M government’s inactivity regarding the serial killings of Tamil Int May 2003)-(www.colombopage.com)
• The Department for the Registration of Companies has repor companies and businesses registered in the first quarte (www.lankapage.com)
• A Police and Army combine operation unit have detect Velvetithurai last evening a senior Police officer says. (6 May 20
• The former Chief of Staff of the Indian Army, Major Genera would be reached on the question of high security zones in th territorial integrity or sovereignty of Sri Lanka. (8 May 2003)-(w
• A constitutional wrangle over the takeover of the Develop Kumaratunga deepened today as she insisted her action Wickremesinghe contended it was not. President Kumaratu purview through a Gazette notification on the night of May Government mobs stormed the Government Press triggering sealed and employees ceasing work. (11 May 2003)-(Sunday Tim
• LTTE said today they were training more fighters to maintai say a return to armed conflict is unlikely, observers fear that the peace process. (12 May 2003)-(AP/www.theacademic.org)
• The commander of the Sri Lankan Navy (SLN) Vice Adm. D secretary to say that the SLN will no longer accept rulin Monitoring Mission (SLMM) which are in gross violation of th of February 2002. (18 May 2003)-(Sunday Times)
• The main Opposition People's Alliance today accused recommendations of the country's own Army and Navy c sovereignty and obtaining the services of Indian consultants- Jacob- which they termed a ploy that would ultimately put the
• Economic growth rose progressively during the year and reco in 2002, in contrast to a contraction of 1.5 per cent in 2001. (1
• The government has partially accepted a proposal to in Kumaratunga, a senior government spokesman said today. (17
• The JVP said today it had finalised a memorandum of underst UNF government. (18 May 2003)-(Daily Mirror)
• In a conciliatory gesture the LTTE announced today it is se rations to flood victims in Ratnapura. (20 May 2003)-(Daily Mir
• The LTTE today renounced a military solution and assured political settlement while making a fervent appeal to the int immediate humanitarian and reconstruction needs of the no May 2003)-(Daily Mirror)
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003

Page Index
5
either protect the party or return its surrendered weapons so it TTE, according to a government official. (4 May 2003)-
Norwegian Maj. Gen. Triggve Tellefsen wants the Sri Lanka Navy to firing, to specified areas at sea and wants to carve out separate live firing after repeating his earlier call to recognize them as a "de nspections of Sea Tiger vessels will be permitted for the Sri Lanka out SLMM monitors. In effect, for the Sri Lanka Navy, these areas the monitors are with them. (3-4 May 2003)-(Sunday ticles/news.asp?ArticleID=86420)
g picketed the entrance of Jaffna Fort preventing Sri Lanka Army ng the area outside the Jaffna fort in preparation for relocating the District Peoples Organizations and Jaffna University Students Union May 2003)-(www.tamilnet.com) s Bakeer Makar says that residences in Jaffna will receive daily mail opening ceremony of the Vavuniya Main Post Office today. (5 May
has written to Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe about the serial killings of Tamil Intelligence Officers attached to the Army. (6
of Companies has reported a sharp increase in the number of new ed in the first quarter of the current year. (6 May 2003)-
ration unit have detected a Sea Tiger suicide boat hidden in lice officer says. (6 May 2003)-(www.theacademic.org) ian Army, Major General Sathis Nambiar, has said that no decision high security zones in the North that would create a threat to the Sri Lanka. (8 May 2003)-(www.lankapage.com) akeover of the Development Lotteries Board (DLB) by President she insisted her action was legal while Prime Minister Ranil not. President Kumaratunga sought to bring the DLB under her on on the night of May 9. The move was thwarted after pro-UNF ernment Press triggering off incidents that led to the premises being (11 May 2003)-(Sunday Times) more fighters to maintain their military strength. While both sides kely, observers fear that the rebels' refusal to disarm could damage P/www.theacademic.org)
avy (SLN) Vice Adm. Daya Sandagiri has written to the defence no longer accept rulings of the Scandenavian-staffed Sri Lanka e in gross violation of the terms of the ceasefire agreement (CFA) nday Times) Alliance today accused the government of over-riding the own Army and Navy commanders regarding matters relating to es of Indian consultants-General Satish Nambiar and Vice Admiral would ultimately put the army at risk. (9 May 2003)-(Daily Mirror) during the year and recorded an annual growth rate of 4 per cent of 1.5 per cent in 2001. (10 May 2003)-(The Island)
pted a proposal to increase security to President Chandrika okesman said today. (17 May 2003)-(The Island) emorandum of understanding with the SLFP in a bid to topple the aily Mirror)
nnounced today it is sending a large stock of rice and other dry (20 May 2003)-(Daily Mirror) ary solution and assured its fullest commitment to a permanent fervent appeal to the international community to ensure that the ruction needs of the north and east are attended to urgently. (22
3

Page 9
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
• The main opposition People's Alliance (PA) today rejected t Northeast made by the LTTE, and warned that it would be Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe agreed to the counci 2003)-(www.tamilnet.com)
• The Ceylon Workers Congress (CWC), a constituent of the in a press release today declared that it would wholeheartedl forward by the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE). (25 M
• The government is offering LTTE direct control over reconst northeast in a new proposal aimed at reviving stalled peace 2003)- (AP/BBC/http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=1000008
• The Japanese government, a main organiser of next month' ahead with its previous plan. The conference will take pla Moragoda today left for Japan to assure that the Sri Lanka gov despite the LTTE's boycott. (26 May 2003)-(www.lankapage.co
• Sri Lanka's United National Front (UNF) government today r Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) that an interim administration handle the reconstruction, rehabilitation and resettlement of t be established before Tokyo aid summit talks begin http://news.tamilnet.com/art.html?catid=13&artid=9073
• The Sinhala hardliner Marxist Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP thwart the attempt by the United National Front (UNF) gove the north east as demanded by the Liberation Tigers of Tam (26 May 2003)-(www.tamilnet.com)
• JVP General Secretary Tilvin Silva says that his party is totally administration unit in the North and East. Mr. Silva made t media briefing on the current political situation in the country
• The Federation of the Bhikkhus for Rescue of the Moth signatures to the Japanese Embassy and accused the Japane divide the nation and persuading the notorious Tamil Tigers t causing intervention and blatant violation of the sovereignty of
• President Chandrika Kumaratunga says that she is prepared leadership and is not opposed to the resettlement of people than at Palaly where the airport is situated. The President st Minister T. Maheswaran, who met her to discuss the proble 2003)-(www.lankapage.com)
• The Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission charges that LTTE was viol their own feet by not complying with the Mission's ruling to May 2003)-(www.lankapage.com)
• The LTTE has rejected the alternate proposals submitted by specifying the participatory role of the Tigers in the propose East. (31 May 2003)-(www.lankapage.com)
• The international community has expressed its dismay ove government’s proposal to set up an interim administration for Australia and the European Union urged the Tigers to restart added that the peace process should get back on track as s playing ball games with the national crisis and two hostile part told the LTTE. (31 May 2003)-(www.lankapage.com)
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003

Page Index
6
ce (PA) today rejected the proposal for an interim council in the arned that it would be forced to take constitutional remedies if e agreed to the council “contrary to” the constitution. (23 May
C), a constituent of the United National Front (UNF) government, t it would wholeheartedly support the interim council proposal put
amil Eelam (LTTE). (25 May 2003)-(www.tamilnet.com) ect control over reconstruction work in Sri Lanka - 's war-battered at reviving stalled peace negotiations, officials said today. (26 May
/apps/news?pid=10000080&sid=aXD0YlqNTDQg&refer=asia) rganiser of next month's mega-aid conference, has decided to go onference will take place in June as scheduled. Minister Milinda re that the Sri Lanka government will participate at the conference 2003)-(www.lankapage.com) NF) government today responded to the request of the Liberation n interim administration (IA) with adequate powers to effectively ion and resettlement of the war ravaged northeast province should summit talks begin next month, sources said. -May 26- id=13&artid=9073
Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP) today declared that it would go all out to tional Front (UNF) government to grant interim administration for iberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), sources in Colombo said.
s that his party is totally against the LTTE’s request for an interim d East. Mr. Silva made this statement in Colombo yesterday at a l situation in the country. (27 May 2003)-(www.lankapage.com) r Rescue of the Motherland presented a petition with 30,000 and accused the Japanese envoy Yashushi Akhashi of striving to notorious Tamil Tigers to attend the Tokyo peace summit, thereby tion of the sovereignty of Sri Lanka. (27 May 2003)-(The Island)
ys that she is prepared ‘on principle’ to hold talks with the LTTE resettlement of people in high security zones in the North other ituated. The President stated her stance to Hindu Religious Affairs er to discuss the problems facing the Tamil community. (30 May
arges that LTTE was violating the ceasefire agreement and shooting the Mission's ruling to release a sailor under LTTE’s custody. (30
proposals submitted by the government and criticized it for not e Tigers in the proposed structure for development of the North .com)
pressed its dismay over the LTTE’s rejection of the Sri Lankan nterim administration for development in the North and East. India, ged the Tigers to restart the peace talks without preconditions and get back on track as soon as possible. “This is not the time for risis and two hostile parties should start talks immediately,” the EU .lankapage.com)
3

Page 10
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
F
INDINGS AT A GLANCE OF THE POLL CONDUCT
J
UNE
2003
♦ Between May 2002 and May 2003 uncertainty as to whe
Lanka remains the same (May ‘02 – 60%, July ’02 – 58.4 November ’02 – 57.6%, January ’03 – 60.1%, March ’03 65.4% of the Sinhala community and 42.3% of the Musli indicate when there will be peace in Sri Lanka, while 52 community feel that there will be peace soon. However within the Tamil community, with 40.5% uncertain as to Lanka, while 41.9% believe that there will be peace soo
♦ The belief that the origin/cause of the war in Sri Lanka
increased from 36.3% in March 2003 to 41.5% in May 2
♦ A majority (87.4%) continues to believe that ‘Peace talk
have peace in Sri Lanka. (Ref. Page 15)
♦ 7.6% believe that the reason there hasn’t been a solutio is because the LTTE does not want peace. This opinion (13.1%). In March 2003 10.1% of the Muslim community community believed that the LTTE does not want peac Muslim community and 7.7% of the Sinhala community want peace. In May 2003, the Tamil (51.9%), Muslim (43 (21.1%) communities believe that corrupt military and p there hasn’t been a solution to the war. This is an incre 25.1% of the Tamil, 12.7% of the Muslim and 37.4% of t communities believe the same. (Ref. Page 16)
♦ In May 2003, 15.1% of the Tamil community do not bel
committed to find peace through talks. This is an increa 44.9% of Sri Lankans believe that the LTTE is not comm 8.1% of the Tamil community also believe the same, wh 2003 (Tamil – 3.5%). 16.8% of the Sinhala and 53.6% of that the LTTE is committed to find peace through talks 2003 (Sinhala – 11.3%, Muslim – 40.2%). (Ref. Page 17 an
♦ 36.8% of Sri Lankans believe that the Government goes ‘Commitment to peace’ while 29% believe that it is the be won’. When asked why they think the LTTE goes in ‘To fool the people’. However there is an increase in th for talks due to ‘International pressure’ (18.5% in March well as in the opinion that the LTTE goes in for talks du in March 2003 to 20% in May 2003). (Ref. Page 19 and P
♦ While 26.7% of Sri Lankans believe that only the Gover involved in negotiations, 23.3% advocate the widest ran 30.7% of the Sinhala community believe that only the G be involved in the negotiations, while 36.2% of the Tam ‘Government, LTTE and an International third party’ sh hand, the Muslim (66.4%) and the Up-country Tamil (34 widest range of involvement in negotiations. (Ref. Page 2

ndex
THE POLL CONDUCTED FROM
3RD J
UNE
2003
03 uncertainty as to when there will be peace in Sri ‘02 – 60%, July ’02 – 58.4%, September ’02 – 58.6%, y ’03 – 60.1%, March ’03 – 61.9% and May ’03 – 60.4%). y and 42.3% of the Muslim community are unable to ace in Sri Lanka, while 52.3% of the Up-country Tamil
be peace soon. However, there is a division of opinion ith 40.5% uncertain as to when there will be peace in Sri t there will be peace soon. (Ref. Page 13)
of the war in Sri Lanka is ‘Communal Politics’ has 2003 to 41.5% in May 2003. (Ref. Page 14)
o believe that ‘Peace talks’ is the way to end the war and Page 15)
ere hasn’t been a solution to the war for the last 15 years want peace. This opinion has declined since March 2003 of the Muslim community and 15% of the Sinhala TTE does not want peace, while in May 2003, 17% of the f the Sinhala community believe that the LTTE does not
amil (51.9%), Muslim (43.4%) and Up-country Tamil at corrupt military and political leaders are the reason the war. This is an increase from March 2003, where e Muslim and 37.4% of the Up-country Tamil (Ref. Page 16)
il community do not believe that the Government is gh talks. This is an increase from 10.2% in March 2003. at the LTTE is not committed to find peace through talks. lso believe the same, which is an increase from March the Sinhala and 53.6% of the Muslim communities believe
find peace through talks, which is an increase from March – 40.2%). (Ref. Page 17 and Page 18)
at the Government goes in for talks due to its 29% believe that it is the ‘Realisation that this war cannot y think the LTTE goes in for talks, 29.1% believe that it is there is an increase in the opinion that the LTTE goes in ressure’ (18.5% in March 2003 to 23.2% in May 2003) as LTTE goes in for talks due to ‘Economic hardship’ (15.7%
003). (Ref. Page 19 and Page 20)
lieve that only the Government and the LTTE should be
advocate the widest range of involvement in negotiations. y believe that only the Government and the LTTE should , while 36.2% of the Tamil community believe that the ernational third party’ should be involved. On the other the Up-country Tamil (34.2%) communities believe in the
negotiations. (Ref. Page 21)
3
23RD M
AY TO
Page 7

Page 11
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
♦ Over 63% of Sri Lankans believe that an international th
a positive impact or will be essential for the peace proc (74.3%) believe that an international third party’s involv increase from March 2003 (59.7%). (Ref. Page 22)
♦ The decline, since November 2002, in the approval of N
peace process has reversed in May 2003 (November 20 42.3%, March 2003 – 38% and May 2003 - 43.3%). In Ma communities, the Muslim community’s approval of Nor peace process has increased to 67.6% from 45.6% in Ma
♦ The Muslim community’s approval of Norway continuin
from 46.9% in March 2003 to 61.6% in May 2003. (Ref. P
♦ 61.9% believe that India’s involvement in the Sri Lankan
positive impact or will be essential for the peace proces
♦ Of those aware of the involvement of foreign monitors Agreement (CFA), 43.5% believe such a monitoring mis while 29% believe that it is essential for the CFA to suc (50.8%) express that foreign monitors will add a positiv communities express that such a monitoring mission is – 72.7% and Up-country Tamil – 71%). The Muslim com involvement of foreign monitors is essential has increas 72.7% in May 2003. (Ref. Page 26)
♦ Sri Lankans seem to have a divided opinion when asked (Agree – 32.1%, Disagree – 30.1%) and effectiveness (A A majority of the Tamil (Impartial – 74.1%, Effective - 6 (Impartial – 66%, Effective - 60.5%) communities expres SLMM’s impartiality and effectiveness, while the Sinhala divided opinion in this regard. (Ref. Page 27 and Page 28
♦ Having assessed SLMM’s role in the peace process durin 31.1% believe that its powers and mandate should rema that they need to be broadened. 30.7% were unable to Page 29)
♦ When asked as to whether overseas nationality represe
expanded with more countries, 37% express their agre not sure, while 21.8% disagree with this statement. (Ref
♦ 33.7% agree that the number of monitors in the SLMM
don’t know or are unsure on how to respond. Howeve of monitors of SLMM should be increased. The Sinhala as to whether the number of monitors of the SLMM sh Disagree – 25.7%). (Ref. Page 31)
♦ Of those who are aware that the SLMM has identified t
as a de facto naval force, a majority (73.9%) disapproves form the Sinhala (88.5%) and Muslim (55.7%) communit and Up-country Tamil (61.7%) communities approve of 32)

ndex
e that an international third party’s involvement will have ential for the peace process. The Muslim community tional third party’s involvement is essential, which is an .7%). (Ref. Page 22)
002, in the approval of Norway assisting in the Sri Lankan May 2003 (November 2002 – 46.3%, January 2003 – May 2003 - 43.3%). In May, compared to the other
unity’s approval of Norway assisting in the Sri Lankan 67.6% from 45.6% in March 2003. (Ref. Page 23)
oval of Norway continuing to facilitate talks has increased
1.6% in May 2003. (Ref. Page 24)
vement in the Sri Lankan peace process will have a ntial for the peace process. (Ref. Page 25)
ent of foreign monitors in monitoring the Ceasefire ve such a monitoring mission will add a positive impact, ential for the CFA to succeed. The Sinhala community onitors will add a positive impact while the other
a monitoring mission is essential (Tamil – 90.2%, Muslim – 71%). The Muslim community’s opinion that the rs is essential has increased from 56.7% in March 2003 to 26)
ided opinion when asked about the SLMM’s impartiality .1%) and effectiveness (Agree – 29.4%, Disagree – 29.4%). tial – 74.1%, Effective - 62.1%) and Up-country Tamil .5%) communities express their agreement with the veness, while the Sinhala and Muslim communities have a (Ref. Page 27 and Page 28)
n the peace process during the last two months’ period,
nd mandate should remain the same, while 23.5% believe d. 30.7% were unable to respond to the question. (Ref.
erseas nationality representation in the SLMM should be
, 37% express their agreement. 33.8% don’t know or are with this statement. (Ref. Page 30)
f monitors in the SLMM should be increased, while 35% ow to respond. However 23.1% disagree that the number e increased. The Sinhala community has a divided opinion
onitors of the SLMM should increase (Agree – 28.6%, 31)
he SLMM has identified the Sea Tigers (LTTE’s naval unit), ority (73.9%) disapproves of it. This opinion stems mainly uslim (55.7%) communities. However, the Tamil (74.9%) communities approve of the SLMM’s decision. (Ref. Page
3
Page 8

Page 12
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
♦ While 43.1% of those aware that the LTTE was not inv conference in Washington express their approval of thi disapproval. 39% of the Muslim community also disappr
♦ Of those who are aware that the LTTE, on April 21, 20 to suspend its participation in the peace negotiations “f that this decision is an obstacle to peace. This opinion s community, a significant 49.8% of the Tamil community and 42.2% of the Up-country Tamil community. (Ref. Pa
♦ Of the Sri Lankans who are aware that the LTTE has as mechanism to be instituted instead of the Sub-Committ Rehabilitation Needs (SIHRN) for the resumption of th disapproval, while 25.4% express their approval of this ethnic divide between the Sinhala and Tamil communiti community approve of the request, 70% of the Sinhala c Page 35)
♦ Of those aware that the Government and the LTTE hav committed to finding a solution based on federalism wit disapprove of this agreement, which is an increase from 34.1% approve of this agreement. 50.5% of the Sinhala c agreement, which is an increase from March 2003 (39.4
♦ While 34.3% don’t know or are unsure as to whether t Muslims of the East are being adequately represented in they are. A majority of the Muslim community (66.2%), interests and concerns of the Muslims of the East are n which is an increase from March 2003 (54.9%). 38.7% o community believe that the interests and concerns of th adequately represented in the peace talks, which is a de (Ref. Page 37)
♦ 58.9% of the Muslim community believe that the curren the interests and concerns of the Eastern Muslims, in th impact on the peace process. (Ref. Page 38)
♦ 35.4% believe that there should be a separate Muslim d
which is a slight increase from March 2003 (29.5%). Wh country Tamil communities are divided over this issue, community (83.7%) believes that there should be a sepa peace talks. (Ref. Page 39)
♦ Of those aware of the violence that took place on Apri Eastern Province, over 50% believe that ‘Members of th While 63.2% and 40.9% of the Sinhala and Muslim comm ‘Members of the LTTE’ were responsible, 24.2% and 49 Tamil communities respectively, believe that ‘Members responsible. However 20.8% of the Tamil community b on the ‘Members of the Sinhala community’, while 27.2 community believe that ‘Members of the Tamil commun 40)

ndex
at the LTTE was not invited to the pre-Tokyo donor ress their approval of this decision, 38% express their
community also disapprove of it. (Ref. Page 33)
he LTTE, on April 21, 2003, announced that it has decided the peace negotiations “for the time being”, 73.7% believe to peace. This opinion stems from 78.8% of the Sinhala of the Tamil community, 51.8% of the Muslim community amil community. (Ref. Page 34)
are that the LTTE has asked for a new administrative tead of the Sub-Committee on Immediate Humanitarian for the resumption of the peace talks, 58.9% express their ss their approval of this request. There seems to be an ala and Tamil communities. While 82.6% of the Tamil uest, 70% of the Sinhala community disapprove of it. (Ref.
rnment and the LTTE have announced that they are
based on federalism within a united Sri Lanka, 41.7% which is an increase from March 2003 (36.1%), while
nt. 50.5% of the Sinhala community disapprove of this e from March 2003 (39.4%). (Ref. Page 36)
e unsure as to whether the interests and concerns of the dequately represented in the peace talks, 30% believe that slim community (66.2%), however, believe that the
uslims of the East are not being adequately represented, h 2003 (54.9%). 38.7% of the Up-country Tamil erests and concerns of the Muslims of the East are being peace talks, which is a decline from March 2003 (48.9%).
ty believe that the current inadequate representation of
he Eastern Muslims, in the peace talks, will have a negative (Ref. Page 38)
d be a separate Muslim delegation at the peace talks, March 2003 (29.5%). While the Sinhala, Tamil and Up-
divided over this issue, a majority of the Muslim at there should be a separate Muslim delegation in the
that took place on April 17-19 in the Muttur area in the lieve that ‘Members of the LTTE’ were responsible for it. Sinhala and Muslim communities respectively believe that esponsible, 24.2% and 49.1% of the Tamil and Up-country y, believe that ‘Members of the Muslim community’ were f the Tamil community believe that the responsibility falls
community’, while 27.2% of the Up-country Tamil ers of the Tamil community’ are responsible. (Ref. Page
3
Page 9

Page 13
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
♦ 45.1% of those aware of the violence in the Muttur are the Government in ending these clashes, while 32.8% d However 13.4% disapprove of the Government’s role i 41)
♦ Of those aware of the Muttur violence, 37.9% don’t kno played by the LTTE in ending these clashes, while 35.5% However, 17.1% approve of LTTE’s role in ending these
♦ While 47.9% of those aware of the Muttur violence don
role played by the SLMM in ending these clashes, 22.8% There is however disapproval from 16% of Sri Lankans in ending these clashes. (Ref. Page 43)
♦ 46.1% of those aware of the Muttur violence don’t kno
played by the Muslim political parties in ending these cla of the role played by the Muslim political parties while 1 ending these clashes. (Ref. Page 44)
♦ While 52% of those aware of the Muttur violence don’t
played by the religious and community organisations of 27.7% approve of their role. (Ref. Page 45)
♦ 47.3% of Sri Lankans don’t know or are not sure as to w
Agreement (CFA) needs to be strengthened and expan CFA needs to be strengthened and expanded. (Ref. Page
♦ Of those aware of the May 9, 2003 decision by the Pres Development Lotteries Board, 30.6% approve of this de to comment on the decision. (Ref. Page 47)
♦ 47.1% of those aware of the President’s decision to tak
Lotteries Board believe that this decision will have no im however are unable to express their opinion on this ma Tamil (46.7%) communities believe that the President’s Development Lotteries Board will have no impact on th
For further information please co
Reshma Harjani or Pradeep Pe
Social Indicator Centre for Policy Alternativ
105, 5th Lane, Colombo 3, Sri Lanka.
Tel: 370472 Email: cpapoll@diamon Fax: 370475 Web: http://www.cpa

ndex
olence in the Muttur area approve of the role played by se clashes, while 32.8% don’t know or are unsure.
the Government’s role in ending these clashes. (Ref. Page
violence, 37.9% don’t know or are unsure of the role hese clashes, while 35.5% disapprove of the LTTE’s role.
TE’s role in ending these clashes. (Ref. Page 42)
f the Muttur violence don’t know or are unsure of the ding these clashes, 22.8% approve of the SLMM’s role. from 16% of Sri Lankans with regard to the SLMM’s role age 43)
uttur violence don’t know or are unsure of the role parties in ending these clashes. However, 22.9% approve m political parties while 18.2% disapprove of their role in e 44)
he Muttur violence don’t know or are unsure of the role munity organisations of the area in ending these clashes, Ref. Page 45)
w or are not sure as to whether the Ceasefire strengthened and expanded, while 36.7% believe that the and expanded. (Ref. Page 46)
003 decision by the President to take over the 30.6% approve of this decision, while 41.3% were unable (Ref. Page 47)
esident’s decision to take over the Development is decision will have no impact on the peace process. 35% s their opinion on this matter. The Sinhala (48.7%) and the lieve that the President’s decision to take over the will have no impact on the peace process. (Ref. Page 48)
her information please contact:
ma Harjani or Pradeep Peiris
Social Indicator ntre for Policy Alternatives
105, 5th Lane, Colombo 3, Sri Lanka.
Email: cpapoll@diamond.lanka.net 5 Web: http://www.cpalanka.org
3
Page 10

Page 14
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
P
EACE
C
ONFIDENCE
I
NDEX
(P
M
AY
2001 – M
AY
2003
T
HE
P
ERCEPTION OF
W
AR AND
P
EACE
What does ‘peace’ mean to you? [Multiple Answers]
National Trend
70
60
63
54
49.2
46.1
54.5
53.9
50.6 50.5
47
21.6
10.4
14.9
May '01 September
'01
52.7
50
41.4 40
36.4
35.8 %
0
36.7
34.7
35.9
35 37.5
34.7
30
24.7
35.7
32
29.3 29
34.7
35
25.9
Ethnic Breakdown
30.4
31.2
25.4 20
16
10
15.3 16.2
11.2
18.3
9.8
15.5
14.9
January '02 May '02 September
'02
Ja
6.1
Up-country Tamil
18.5
41
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
%
70.9 1.3
27.1
Muslim
61.2
9.4
36.8
Tamil
22.8
11.8
47.4
64 29.5
Sinhala

I C
ONFIDENCE
NDEX
(PCI)
M
AY
2001 – M
AY
2003
P
ACE
ou? [Multiple Answers]
National Trend
53.9
50.6 50.5
47.8 44.9
27.6
4.9 15.5
14.9
51.9 47.2
16.2
End of war
Ethnic Harmony
Feeling Safe
Freedom
ic Breakdown
47.4
41.4
34.7
36.4
35.8
42.7
39
38.2
31.2
34.7
35
34.1
31
25.4
'02 September
'02
16.7
17.7
12.6
January '03 May '03
70.9
61.2
50 60 70 80 90
Freedom 81.6
Feeling safe Ethnic Harmony End of war
64
Page 11

Page 15
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
What does ‘war’ mean to you? [Multiple Answers]
National Trend
70
60
54.4
60.2
58.9
57.
51.3
50.8 50
39.6
43.1
42.8
40
%
30
27.1
30.3
24.5
23.9
25.2 26.4
26.2
27.4
26
20
22.9
15
20.3 17.1
12.3
10.9 21.5 9.8
8.7
3.5
June '01 November '01 March '02 July '02 November
Ethnic Breakdown
1.7
18.2
21.2
22.9
22.
15.8
12.9
11.4
0
21.5
16.7
16.2 16.2 10
16.8
12.4
16.4 16.6
9.9
3.5
3.3
9.4
13.2
0.3
7.8
8.6
2.7
2.7 3.5
1
43.9 Up-country Tamil
1
8.2
32.1
36.9
9.7
7.7
20.4
34.6
55.8
7.7
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
%
67 Muslim
44.5
63.1
3.7
19.6
Tamil
11.7
18.6
64.4
4
15.4
29
Sinhala

? [Multiple Answers]
National Trend
4 60.2
58.9
57.8
55.9
56.2
56.7
8.7
3.5
2
Means to achieving peace
Fighting for rights
Disharmony amongst races
Hindrance to economic growth/ Rise in cost of living Death / Destruction
Terrorism
thnic Breakdown
6
35.3
26.2
27.4
27.7
30.1
22.9
22.3
22.4
6
26
1.2
25.7
23.6
16.2
16.2
15.8
9.4
15.6
11.1
9.9
13.2
8.7
10.1
7.8
July '02 November '02 March '03
10
3 3.5 2.7
4.6
2.2
43.9
6.9
44.5
55.8
0 50 60 70 80
%
Terrorism
67.8
Death / Destruction 63.1
Hindrance to economic growth/ Rise in cost of living 64.4
Disharmony amongst races
Fighting for rights
Means to achieving peace
Page 12

Page 16
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
When will there be peace in Sri Lanka?
National Trend
80
21.1
24.8
May '01 September
'01
71.3
70
63.8
60
53.9
54.5
57.9
57.2
60
58.4
58
50
%
40
30
0
Ethnic Breakdown
15
24.8
7.2
18.9
22.1
20
11
13.4
10.2 9.9 10 10.6
7.5
6.7 4.9
6.8
9 7.6 January
'02
May '02 Septem
'02
27.7 2 Up-country Tamil
2 1.3
14.5
40.5
9.8 2 2.2
0 10 20 30 40 50
%
52.3
4.7
42.3 5.1 Muslim
1.4
10.4
13.3
26.4
1.6 Tamil
2
4.2
9
41.9
Sinhala

Sri Lanka?
National Trend
.2
60
58.4
58.6
57.6
61.9
19.3
8.5
May '02 September
'02
60.1
60.4
22.1
21.1
24.8
21
17.7
Soon
Never
Don't know
Ethnic Breakdown
41.9
17.3
6.8
9
7.6 10.4
8.2
10
January '03
May '03
52.3
42.3
65.4
40 50 60 70
Don't know Never Not in my life time
40.5
Within the next ten years Within the next five years Soon
Page 13

Page 17
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
In your opinion what was the origin/cause(s) of the wa Answers]
National Trend
45
41.6
41.5
40
40.3
37.8
39.3
33.8
34.5
33.4
35.1 35
30
24.7
29.2
33.1
26
28
29.2
25.6
%
25
24
24.3 20
17.9
14.8
14.2 15
11.7
13.2
11
12.4
11.7
10
9.2 7.8
9.9
7.1 5
8.4
9
6.6
9.1
4.9
8.7
9
8.2
8.7
8
2.6
4.2
8.1 6.9
6.8 2 3.6 June '01 November '01 March '02 July '02 Novembe 7
0
1.4
3.6
4 4
3.9 2.9
Ethnic Breakdown
3.8
19.2 Up-country Tamil
9.8
43.1 28.7
50.3 11.6
7.3 7.3 Muslim
7.3
41.4
2.5
5.6 0.7
13.8 11.3
1.6
8.2
10.9
0 10 20 30 %
40 50
5
0
Tamil
28.9
Sinhala

origin/cause(s) of the war in Sri Lanka? [Multiple
National Trend
3
37.8
39.3
41.5
35.1
36.3
36.2
8
29.2
25.6
24.4
19.5
2.3
Communal politics
22.5
20.4
Discrimination against Tamils
Discrimination against 14.2
15.2
Sinhalese .4
11.7
12.3 12.1
Sinhala chauvinism
9
8.2
Tamil chauvinism 6.9
6.8 3.6
Terrorism
Ethnic Breakdown
43.1
8.7
14.3
11.2
2
7
8.3
8
9.8
2.9
10.4 10.6
.9
2.9
3.3
July '02 November '02 March '03
50.3
41.4
40 50 60 70
Terrorism
54.2
58.3
Tamil chauvinism
Sinhala chauvinism
Discrimination against
64
Sinhalese Discrimination against Tamils
Communal politics
Page 14

Page 18
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
S
OLUTIONS TO THE
C
ONFLICT
How do you think we can end the war and have
Answers]
National Trend
100
90
85
87.2
84.4
86
71.3
59.1
7.2
0
May '01 September
'01
80.7 80
68.6
71.9
70
60
%
50
40
30
18
24.4
20
7.6
Ethnic Breakdown
8.4
19.9 20
10
9.9
7
10.1
1.3
0.8 1 0.9
1.1
0.8
0.8 1 January
'02
May '02 Septembe
'02
95.3 Up-country Tamil
0 2.1
0
0.3
%
96.7 Muslim
1.3 0.1
96.6 Tamil
0.8
85.4 Sinhala
0 20 40 60 80 100 1

end the war and have peace in Sri Lanka? [Multiple
National Trend
87.2
84.4
86
83.7
83.7
87.4
5.5
86.7
May '02 September
'02
Government defeating the LTTE
LTTE defeating the Government
Peace talks
7
10.1
7.2 6.5
10.4
7
0.8
0.8
1 1.1 0.3
ic Breakdown
85.4
0.6
0.4
January '03
May '03
95.3
96.7
80 100 120
Peace talks
LTTE defeating the 96.6
Government
Government defeating the LTTE
Page 15

Page 19
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
Why do you think there hasn’t been a solution to the years? [Multiple Answers]
National Trend
50
46.2
37.3
36.7 34.1
May '01 September
'01
44.2 44 45
40.
7.3
8.6
9.3
4.8
39.1
39.4 40
37.1
35
33.4
38.5
34.8 30
30.1
30.3
30.9
31.8
35
30.6
30.2
3
%
25
25.8
24.5 20
22.2
21.2
20.7
15
18.5
18.6 18.2
10
0
Ethnic Breakdown
33.4
10.6 10.5 5
0
6.5 6.5
January '02
May '02 September
'02
21.5 17.3 Up-country Tamil
2.6
4.4
1.1
15 13.9 7.7
0 10 20 30 40 50
%
33.8
6.5
21.1
24.9
28.4 Muslim
6.6
17
26
43.4
10.4
23.3 Tamil
2.4
39.8
46.4
51.9
Sinhala

’t been a solution to the war for the last 15 odd
National Trend
44.2 44
9.4
40.5
44.2
41.8
44
41.4
34.8
32.7
7.5 7.6
.5
Corrupt military and political 35
leaders
30.6
30.2
No political will
LTTE does not want peace
War is necessary for people in power
thnic Breakdown
33.4
33.1
0.7
19.5
19.1
18.6 18.2
y '02 September
'02
13.1
15.7
11.3
10.6 10.5
7
January '03
May '03
33.8
40 50 60
Don't know
43.4
War is necessary for people in power LTTE does not want peace The strength of the LTTE No political will
39.8
Corrupt military and political leaders
46.4
51.9
Page 16

Page 20
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
C
ONFIDENCE
I think the Government is committed to find peace th
National Trend
80
69.8
70.2
70
63.7 61.8 58
5 60
50.2
53
50
43.8 44 %
40
31.4
30
23.8
22.5
24.5
20
11.9
9.8
9.1
12
15.1
18 10
0
May '01 September '01 January '02 May '02 September '02
Ethnic Breakdown
8.4
Up-country Tamil
8
11.5
Muslim
12.5
24.8
50.6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
%
66
15.1
Tamil
2.6
Sinhala
12.7

mmitted to find peace through talks.
National Trend
9.8
70.2
63.7
59.4
56.7
50.1
53.9
22.5
12 9.1
Agree
Disagree
ic Breakdown
50.6
15.1
18.6
20.9
19.1
ay '02 September '02 January '03 May '03
70.4
50 60 70 80
Disagree
66.3
Neither agree nor disagree
Agree
69.6
Page 17

Page 21
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
I think the LTTE is committed to find peace through t
National Trend
80
68.5 70
63.5
60
50.6
53.2
50
45.7
42.7
38.2 32.9
15.8
0
May '01 September '01 January '02 May '02 September
39.5 %
40
30
22.2
20
17.3
12.9
27.3
25.7
27.5
28.3
9.8 10
Ethnic Breakdown
7.2
Up-country Tamil
9.9
13.1
Muslim
19.3
52.7
16.8
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
%
53.6
8.1
Tamil
2
Sinhala
15.6

to find peace through talks.
National Trend
45.7
45.7
39.5
38.2
39.8
38.9
44.9
Agree
Disagree
25.7
27.5
28.3
29.3 29
25.7
19.7
May '02 September '02 January '03 May '03
Ethnic Breakdown
66.8
77.4
52.7
0 50 60 70 80 90
%
53.6
Disagree
Neither agree nor disagree
Agree
Page 18

Page 22
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
Why do you think that the Government goes in for ta
National Trend
60
50
44.6
48.8
45.3
40
39
35.8
39.5
41.7
42.1
38.3
%
37.5
33.4
27
35.5
33.2
32.4
32.5
30
29.6
24.5
28.9
24.1
24.1
29.9
18.6
19.9 19.8
20.1
15.5
10.3
June '01 November '01 March '02 July '02 November
Ethnic Breakdown
37
28.9
20
18
12.2
8.4
17.2 19.7
17.6
14.5
16.2
9.7
12.4
10 10
7.1
9.5
0
7.4
4.5
11.9
8
10.6 8.8 7.1 4.2 3.5 4.3
3.2 3. 2.9 1.6 Up-country Tamil
9
32.8
2.7
15.1
28.6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
%
40
7.2
39.8
15.2 8.5 Muslim
41.4
43.1
18.4
59.7 27.7
4.4 1.3 Tamil
18.8
26.3
41.1 41.5
Sinhala

overnment goes in for talks? [Multiple Answers]
National Trend
.8
45.3
42.1
38.3
38.3
38
Commitment to peace
.2
32.4
32.5
36.8
Economic hardship 28.6
International pressure 28.9
24.1
24.6
23.8
Realisation that this war 20.1
cannot be won To fool the people 10.3
Lack of manpower
nic Breakdown
41.5
24.1
29.9
27.2
29
7.2
12.4
10
14.1
12.9 13.1
10.6
4.3
3.2 8.8
7.1 3.9 6.6
10.3
5.2
10.9 11
3.7
July '02 November '02 March '03
0 9.8
43.1
41.1
Lack of manpower
41.4
To fool the people
59.7
Realisation that this war cannot be won International pressure
Economic hardship
Commitment to peace
50 60 70
Page 19

Page 23
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
Why do you think that the LTTE goes in for talks? [M
T
HE
National Trend
50
44.9 45
40
34.6 35
31.3
31.5
30.8
30 30
29.1
27.3
27.9
25.1
27.7
%
25
22.4
24.5
24.7
23.4
27.4
23.9
20
18.7
18.3
20.4
19
20
15.2
13.9
16.1
1
12.3
10.3
June '01 November '01 March '02 July '02 Novembe
Ethnic Breakdown
7.1
22.5
16.7
15.4
14.9
18.1
13.1
0
19.1
16.9
18.2
15
13.8
14.6
15.5
8.9
15.9
13.9
18.6
14.6
10
14.9
12.5
12.8
14.4
12.4
12.8
1
5
8.5
6.6
5.6 0 Up-country Tamil
9.8
25
10.7
34.4 24.9
0 10 20 30 40 50
%
38.7
22
44.6
17.3
39.2 12.3 Muslim
35.9
38.5 36.3 29.1
2.5 1.3 Tamil
4.9
32 23.9
44.1
Sinhala
P
EACE
P
ROCESS

TE goes in for talks? [Multiple Answers]
National Trend
20
Commitment to peace
1.5
30.8
Economic hardship
27.7
International pressure
4.7
27.4
Realisation that this war cannot be won To fool the people
Lack of manpower
nic Breakdown
44.1
30.8
28.7 28.5
29.1
25.6
25 24.3 23.4
23.9
22.5
20.5
23.2
9
18.2 18.1
20
16.1
16.5
13.1
14.5
18.5
8.6
14.6 13.9
16.1
16.7
15.7
14.6
12.8 10.3
11.9
July '02 November '02 March '03
12.9
4.4
12.4
13.2
12.6
38.7
32
44.6
39.2
36.3
40 50
Lack of manpower
35.9
38.5
To fool the people
9.1
Realisation that this war cannot be won International pressure
Economic hardship
Commitment to peace
34.4
Page 20

Page 24
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
Who should be involved in negotiations?
I
NTERNATIONAL
National Trend
40
36.7
35
32.1
33.9
30
25.1
31.3
25.8
27
25
23
21.6
21.7 21.9
16.4
12.4
13.5
14 15.5
12.1
16.4
2.1 2.1 2.5 May '01 September
'01
19.9 %
20
16.2
19
15
15.5
15.9
15.1
14.2
19.1
11
16.6
10
6.6 9.5
5
4.3 4
4.8
2.4
1.9
1.4 0
Ethnic Breakdown
5.9
January '02 May '02 September
'02
Jan
0
2.1
Up-country Tamil
8.9
7
10.7
34.2
28.7
0
3.6
Muslim
0
0.8 1.3
2.5
21.5
Tamil
0
5.4
6.6
7.3
2.5
17.6
16.4
36.2
1.1
6.1
Sinhala
3.4
7.6
8.2
9.3
20.4
30.7
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
T
HIRD
P
ARTY
F
ACILITATION
%

gotiations?
National Trend
26.7
9.5
F
ILITATION
Govt. and LTTE only
.8
27
.7
19.9
21.9
20.3
23.3
Govt.,LTTE and
19.1
.1
11
16.6
16.4
18.3
17.2
18.6
International third party only
12.9
9.8
Govt., Opposition, LTTE,Tamil, Muslim 6.6 9.5
parties and a third party
2.5 2.4
1.9
1.4 1
1.5
0.9
No peace talks
'02 September
January '03 May '03 '02
Ethnic Breakdown
Don't know
No peace talks
66.4
Govt., Opposition, LTTE,Tamil, Muslim parties and a third party
Govt., Opposition, LTTE,Tamil and Muslim parties only
Govt., Opposition, LTTE, Tamil parties and a third party
.2
Govt., Opposition, LTTE and other Tamil parties only
Govt.,LTTE and International third party only
Govt. and LTTE only
0 50 60 70
Page 21

Page 25
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
What is your opinion of the need for an internationa solve the North East war in Sri Lanka?
N
ORWEGIAN
National Trend
40
38
35.8 35
32.6
32.5 32.5
30.9
31.9
30.2 30
28.9
25
24.2
20.9
29
28.8
26.1
29
21.8
%
20
16.8
16
16.5
14.2
10 9.6
9.6
10.2
September '01 January '02 May '02 September '02 J
Ethnic Breakdown
22.4
16.7
15
13.1
13.2
14.2
10.5 10
11.6
0
11.3
9.9
11.3
9.2
10.3
5
5.4 5.4
3.2
2.1
0.7
0.9
1.4
4.6
1.4
8.1
1.2
0
13.9 Up-country Tamil
0.2
8.8
0
10.5
1
0 20 40 60 80
%
58.6
11.4 7.9 Muslim
1.5
2.9
4.4
37.6
74.3
2.7 3 Tamil
0.3
4.9
16.1 Sinhala
F
ACILITATION

need for an international third party’s involvement to ri Lanka?
National Trend
30.9
31.9
30.2
30.6 29.8
32.1
31.7
8.8
29
29 29.3
Is essential
26.1
Will add a positive
17.9
16.2
1.4
1.4
1
impact 16.7
Will have no impact
3.2
14.2
Will add a negative impact 11.6
9.5
Is not essential 0.2
Don't know/Not sure
thnic Breakdown
89
14.5 10.5 10.2
10
5.4
5.7
4.3 2.1
4.6
1.4 1.6
3.7
September '02 January '03 May '03
58.6
60 80 100
Don't know/Not sure Is not essential Will add a negative impact 74.3
Will have no impact Will add a positive impact Is essential
Page 22

Page 26
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
Norway assisting in the Sri Lankan peace process
National Trend
60
53.8
50
50.7
42.4
46.3
42.7 40
37
%
30
23.1
24.5
22.4
23
28.
20
20.5
18
18
19.4
22.8
21.8
15.5
13.6 12.8 9.1
7.8 8.8
0
January '02 May '02 September '02 Janua
Ethnic Breakdown
35.5
22.1 17.9
10
17.8
Up-country Tamil
4.6 9
0
23.3
26.9
0 20 40 60 80 100
%
68.5
14.9
Muslim
7.3
9.9
13.1
67.6
2.8
Tamil
0.7
96
Sinhala

nkan peace process
National Trend
2.4
46.3
42.3
38
43.3
2.8
11.8
8.8
Approve
Neither approve nor disapprove
Disapprove
Don't know/Not sure
thnic Breakdown
96.5
29.8
22.7
22.1
28.2
22.4
23
21.8
18.7
21
21.1
10.2
11.1
ember '02 January '03 May '03
68.5
60 80 100 120
Don't know/Not sure
67.6
Disapprove
Neither approve nor disapprove
Approve
Page 23

Page 27
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
Norway continuing to facilitate talks.
National Trend
50
44.1 45
40
38.2
38.
41.3
35
%
30
29.4
26
25
22.6
23.3
19.7
20.
20
21.8
21.8
15
11.9
13
10
13.6
10.7
5
0
September '02 November '02 January '03 Marc
Ethnic Breakdown
19.9
Up-country Tamil
5.4 7
2.8
0
24
26.1
35.2
0 20 40 60 80
%
66.2
14.9
Muslim
7.7
15.5
13.4
61.6
Tamil
1
Sinhala

te talks.
National Trend
38.2
38.7
42.6
29.4
26.9
22.2 19.7
11.9
12.4
Approve
Neither approve nor 20.9
disapprove
21.8
Disapprove
13.2
Don't know/Not sure
nuary '03 March '03 May '03
thnic Breakdown
66.2
96.2
60 80 100 120
%
Don't know/Not sure
61.6
Disapprove
Neither approve nor disapprove
Approve
Page 24

Page 28
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
I
NDIA
’
S
I
NVOLVEMENT
What is your opinion of the need for India’s involve process?
National Trend
45
40
35
31.7
33.8
32.7
35.5
30
27
%
25
26.1 26.6
19.2
16.2
2.7 1.2
May '02 September '02 January '03
Ethnic Breakdown
14.7
20.8
20
16.2
16.4
14.3
0
15.6
14.9
17.4
15
16.8
10
13.1
12.5
13.5
5
3.5
5.9
8.4 9.2
7.1
1.9
1.3 1.7
1.9
8.1 Up-country Tamil 0.2
1
11.8
12.8
1.2
5.8
0 20 40 60 80
%
76.4
9.4
Muslim
4
5.4
12.8
14.1
50.8
17.7 15.1 Tamil
3.6
4.6
8.9
50
13.9 Sinhala
45.9

need for India’s involvement in the Sri Lankan peace
National Trend
35.5
35.9
39.6
2.7
22.3
2.7
1.7
1.6
Is essential
Will add a positive impact Will have no impact
19.2
17.4
18.6 4.9 Will add a negative
impact
14.3
16.2
Is not essential
Don't know/Not sure
nic Breakdown
50
16.8
15.8
13.6
13
12.4 9.2 7.1
5.6
5.3
3
January '03 May '03
76.4
5.9
60 80 100
Don't know/Not sure
Is not essential
50.8
Will add a negative impact
Will have no impact
Will add a positive impact
Is essential
Page 25

Page 29
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
R
ECENT
P
OLITICAL
D
EVELO
S
RI
L
ANKA
M
ONITORING
M
ISSION
If you are aware of the involvement of foreign ceasefire, what is your opinion of the need for such ceasefire agreement to succeed?
National Trend
50
45
40
37.9
39.4
39.3
40.5
41.5
37.5
35
31.2
33.6
30 26.7 %
25
29.7 26.3
25.3
2
20
15
10.3 10
4.6
5.6
8.4
9.6 7.3
6.7
5
4.2
1.9 5.2 5.8
3.8
5.6
4.5 4.2
4.1 1.7 March '02 July '02 November '02 Mar
Ethnic Breakdown
90.2
7.5
0
1.4
4.1 1.9
1.7 0.6
0
Up-country Tamil
0.3
0
0
20.1
0
0
10.3
0
0.7 0
3.1
%
71
Wil of S
Muslim
1.3
10.7
Is n
72.7
Wil
2.8 Tamil
2.1
Wil
Sinhala
0.3
6.4
7.6
Wil
18.3
50.8
Is e
0 20 40 60 80 100

P T
OLITICAL
D
EVELOPMENTS
nvolvement of foreign monitors in monitoring the on of the need for such a monitoring mission for the ed?
National Trend
41.5
43
Is essential
37.5
Will have a positive impact
29
Will have no impact
Will have a negative impact
Is not essential
Will be a threat to the 4.1
sovereignty of Sri Lanka
Breakdown
90.2
43.5
29.7
25.3
26.7
9.6 5.6
4.5
7.5 4.2
2.8 1.7
6.9
5.2
7.2 5.3
0.6
3.7
0.4 0.2 ember '02 March '03
Will be a threat to the sovereignty of Sri Lanka
Is not essential
.7
Will have a negative impact
Will have no impact
Will have a positive impact
Is essential
80 100
Page 26

Page 30
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
I think the Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission is impar ceasefire agreement.
National Trend
40
35.5
35
29 30
33.1
31.7
33.2
32
30.3
28.9
26.8
27.4
27.6
2
25
23.6
18
14.6
May '02 September '02 January '03
2
0
21.4
%
20
15.7
22.5
22.8
Ethnic Breakdown
26.5
19.2
1 15
18 17.8
10
5
15.2
Up-country Tamil
2.8
16
20.2
Muslim
16.5
24.1
38.6
13.5
Tamil
5
6.2
20.3
Sinhala
18.6
33.9
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
%

toring Mission is impartial in its monitoring of the
National Trend
3.2
32.8
30.3
32.1
.4
27
30.1
27.6
Agree
1.4
21.3 22.8
19.6
18
17.4
Neither agree nor disagree
19.2
18.9
Disagree
Don't know/Not sure
January '03 May '03
thnic Breakdown
66
74.1
.9
40 50 60 70 80
% 38.6
Don't know/Not sure
Disagree
Neither agree nor disagree
Agree
Page 27

Page 31
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
I think the Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission is effect ceasefire agreement.
National Trend
35
31.4
30.5 30
28.7
28 26.1
26
26.6 25
21.3
24.8
24.3
23.8 25.7
%
20
19.3
20.3
21.4
19.7
15
10
5
0
July '02 September '02 November '02 January '03 Ma
Ethnic Breakdown
15.2
Up-country Tamil
6.4
18
21.5
32.9
24.6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
%
60
16.8
Muslim
21.8
22.3
20.3
38.6
22.9
Tamil
5.1
7.6
6
Sinhala

toring Mission is effective in its monitoring of the
National Trend
30.6
29.4 28
Agree 26.6
24
29.4
25.7
22.8
19.7
22.4
19.1
Neither agree nor disagree
Disagree
Don't know/Not sure
2 January '03 March '03 May '03
thnic Breakdown
62.1
21.1
60.5
.9
40 50 60 70
Don't know/Not sure 38.6
Disagree Neither agree nor disagree Agree
Page 28

Page 32
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
When assessing SLMM’s role in the peace process period, in your opinion, its powers and mandate need
National Breakdown
30.7
23.5
Broa Shou Narro No re
14.7
31.1 Ethnic Breakdown
18
30.7
National
14.7
31.1 23.5
5.7
Up-country Tamil
8.6
27.1
32.7 15.3
34
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
%
58.6
17.5
Muslim
27.1
27.8 27.5
29.8
Tamil
0.4
3.8
66.
Sinhala

e in the peace process during the last two months’
wers and mandate needs to be...
akdown
23.5
31.1
Broadened Should remain same Narrowed No response
Ethnic Breakdown
58.6
66.1
50 60 70
No response Narrowed Should remain same Broadened
Page 29

Page 33
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
Overseas nationality representation of Sri Lanka M expanded with more countries.
National Breakdown
33.8
37
21.8
7.4
Ethnic Breakdow
33.8
National
7.4
21.8
34.8 23.4
33
0 10 20 30 40
%
37
7.8
17.8
Up-country Tamil
4.9
18.5
19.5
Muslim
9.9
17
29.2
Tamil
1.6
9.4
Sinhala

ntation of Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission should be s.
l Breakdown
37
7.4
Agree
Neither agree nor disagree
Disagree
Don't know/Not sure
Ethnic Breakdown
33.8
33
30 40 50 60 70
%
37
34.8
58.9
Don't know/Not sure
Disagree 53
29.2
Neither agree nor disagree
58.5
Agree
Page 30

Page 34
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
The number of monitors of Sri Lanka Monitoring Miss
National Breakdown
35
33.7
23.1
8.2
Ethnic Breakdown
28.6
35
National
8.2
23.1
33.7
15.3
Up-country Tamil
8.5
10.3
19.4
Muslim
10
18
36 25.7 8.6
0 10 20 30 40 50
%
52
30.3
Tamil
2.5
4.7
Sinhala

ri Lanka Monitoring Mission should be increased.
l Breakdown
33.7
8.2
Agree
Neither agree nor disagree
Disagree
Don't know/Not sure
thnic Breakdown
35
33.7
61.4
36
40 50 60 70
%
Don't know/Not sure
65.9
Disagree
Neither agree nor
52
disagree
.3
Agree
Page 31

Page 35
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
If you are aware that the Sri Lanka Monitoring Missio (LTTE’s naval unit), as a de facto [not a legal force force, do you approve or disapprove of it?
LTTE
National Breakdown
8.3
17.8
73.9
Ethnic Breakdown
8.3 National
73.9 17.8
23 Up-country Tamil
15.3
12.3
7.2
4.3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
%
61.7
7.3 Muslim
55.7 37
12.8 Tamil
74.9
Sinhala

Lanka Monitoring Mission has identified the Sea Tigers facto [not a legal force but exists in practice] naval pprove of it?
Breakdown
17.8
Approve Disapprove Don’t know/ Not sure
Ethnic Breakdown
73.9
61.7
74.9
88.5
60 70 80 90 100
Don’t know/ Not sure
55.7
Disapprove Approve
Page 32

Page 36
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
If you are aware that the LTTE was not invited to the in Washington of April 15, 2003, do you approve or d
National Breakdown
18.9
43.1
App Dis Don
38
Ethnic Breakdown
18.9 National
38
43.1
6.6 Up-country Tamil
13.4
33.6 Muslim
39 27.4
0.5 Tamil
7.5
21.2 Sinhala
23.5
55.3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
%

E was not invited to the pre-Tokyo donor conference 03, do you approve or disapprove of it?
eakdown
3.1
Approve Disapprove Don't know/ Not sure
Ethnic Breakdown
8
43.1
79.9
91.6
55.3
50 60 70 80 90 100 %
Don't know/ Not sure
9
Disapprove
Approve
Page 33

Page 37
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
If you are aware that the LTTE on April 21, 2003 ann suspend its participation in the peace negotiations “ think that this decision is an obstacle to peace?
National Breakdown
12
14.3
73.7
Ethnic Breakdown
12 National
14.3
15.5 Up-country Tamil
36.3
42.2
14.2 Muslim
31.1
49.8
9.3
10.1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
%
51.8
13.4 Tamil
35.4
Sinhala

E on April 21, 2003 announced that it has decided to the peace negotiations “for the time being”, do you
bstacle to peace?
Breakdown
73.7
Yes No Don't know/ Not sure
Ethnic Breakdown
73.7
36.3
42.2
1
Don't know/ Not sure
51.8
No
35.4
Yes
78.8
40 50 60 70 80 90
%
49.8
Page 34

Page 38
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
If you are aware that the LTTE has asked for a new ad instituted instead of Sub-Committee on Immediate Needs (SIHRN) for resumption of peace talks, do you
F
EDERAL
National Breakdown
15.7
25.4
58.9
Ethnic Breakdown
15.7 National
58.9 25.4
11.2 Up-country Tamil
5.8
14.7 Muslim
2.3
15.7
13.8
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
%
58.8 26.5
15.1 Tamil
Sinhala
S
OLUTION

E has asked for a new administrative mechanism to be mmittee on Immediate Humanitarian Rehabilitation on of peace talks, do you approve of this request?
Breakdown
25.4
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know/Not sure
Ethnic Breakdown
58.9
82.6
50 60 70 80 90 %
82.9
70
Don't know/Not sure 58.8
Disapprove Approve
Page 35

Page 39
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
If you are aware that the Government and the LTTE committed to finding a solution based on federalism please tell me if you approve or disapprove of this agr
National Trend
45
41.7
40
35
33.3
34.1
36.1
30.6 30
25
24
%
20
15
10
5
0
Approve Disapprove Don’t know/Not s
Ethnic Breakdown
15.1
Up-country Tamil
5.9
15.8
Muslim
22.4
27.5
21.9
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
%
60.4
8.5
Tamil
4.9
Sinhala
50.5

vernment and the LTTE have announced that they are tion based on federalism within a united Sri Lanka, or disapprove of this agreement?
l Trend
30.6
24
Don’t know/Not sure
March '03 May '03
Ethnic Breakdown
79
86.5
50.5
50 60 70 80 90 100
%
60.4
Don’t know/Not sure
Disapprove
Approve
Page 36

Page 40
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
T
HE
M
USLIM
C
OMMUNITY
Do you think that the interests and concerns of the adequately represented in the peace talks?
National Trend
40
35
36.5
35.6
34.1
30
28.5
29.6 29.4 25 %
20
26.2 22.9
18.9 15
10
5
0
November '02 January '03 March '03 May
Ethnic Breakdown
28.9
Up-country Tamil
25.3
40.7
35.4
29.9
0 10 20 30 40 50 6
%
38.7
14.9
Muslim
15.8
24.2
43.7
Tamil
15.2
Sinhala

sts and concerns of the Muslims of the East are being
peace talks?
National Trend
34.1
34.3
28.5
30
26.5 26.2
Yes
No
Don't know/Not sure
March '03 May '03
thnic Breakdown
38.7
66.2
40.7
35.4
Don't know/Not sure
43.7
No
Yes
40 50 60 70
Page 37

Page 41
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
What in your opinion will be the impact of this on the
National trend
60
50
46.2
48.1
40
34.6
%
30
19.9
20.7 20
18.2
19.6
21 17.9
10
11.9
10.5
6.3 0
January '03 March '03 May '03
Ethnic Breakdown
18.7
50.8
Up-country Tamil
13.2 14 11.4
24.2
Muslim
11.4 4.8
50.1 19.6 11.2
0 10 20 30 40 50
%
46.7
Tamil
3.6
19.2
26.3
Sinhala

the impact of this on the peace process?
National trend
48.1
17.9
11.9
May '03
Will have a positive impact Will have no impact Will have a negative impact Don't know/Not sure 21
Ethnic Breakdown
50.8
58.9
50.1
40 50 60 70
%
Don't know/Not sure
Will have a negative impact
46.7
Will have no impact
Will have a positive impact
Page 38

Page 42
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
Do you think there should be a separate Muslim deleg
V
IOLENCE IN
National Trend
40
35.4 35
31.5
30
29.5
27.8
2
25
%
20
15
10
5
0
Yes No Don
Ethnic Breakdown
19
Up-country Tamil
32
33
6.4 Muslim
3.6
30.2
29
31.1
0 20 40 60 80
%
83
22.3
Tamil
35.5
39.9
Sinhala
M
UTTUR

a separate Muslim delegation in the peace talks?
tional Trend
27.8 28.7
27.5
o Don't know/Not sure
March '03 May '03
hnic Breakdown
83.7
60 80 100
Don't know/Not sure No Yes
Page 39

Page 43
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
If you are aware of the violence that took place on the Eastern Province, in your opinion who is responsib
National Breakdown
60
1.8 2.1
Members of Police
52
50
40
%
30
20
10
4
0
Ethnic Breakdown
1
Members of STF/ Armed Forces
Members of LTTE Memb
Sin comm
National
4.1
11.9
16.7
1.8 2.1
52
Up-country Tamil
0
7.2
7.7
27.2
49.1
0.6
2.5
7.4
12.8 Muslim
2.4
10
40.9
2.5
1.4
24.2
Tamil
20.8
0
3.4
Sinhala
1.9
12.1
15.1
1.6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
%

nce that took place on April 17-19 in Muttur area in opinion who is responsible for causing it?
National Breakdown
52
4.1
16.7
bers of LTTE Members of
Sinhala community
11.9
Members of Tamil community
Members of Muslim community
ic Breakdown
52
49.1
63.2
40 50 60 70
Members of Muslim community
Members of Tamil community
40.9
Members of Sinhala community
Members of LTTE
Members of STF/ Armed Forces
Members of Police
Page 40

Page 44
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
If you are aware of the violence that took place on the Eastern Province, please state your approval Government in ending these clashes?
National Breakdown
32.8
45
13.4
8.7
Ethnic Breakdown
32.8
National
8.7
13.4
31.8 14.7
42.2
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
%
45.1
9.7
22.8
Up-country Tamil
0.6
5.3
31.5
Muslim
8.4
14.5
45.5
26.2
Tamil
2.7
8.3
54.5
Sinhala

nce that took place on April 17-19 in Muttur area in e state your approval on the role played by the clashes?
nal Breakdown
45.1
Approve
Neither approve nor disapprove
Disapprove
Don’t know/Not sure
Ethnic Breakdown
45.1
71.3
42.2
50 60 70 80
Don’t know/Not sure Disapprove Neither approve nor disapprove 45.5
Approve
54.5
Page 41

Page 45
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
If you are aware of the violence that took place on the Eastern Province, please state your approval on t ending these clashes?
National Breakdown
17.1
37.9
9.
35.5
Ethnic Breakdown
8.8
37.9
National
9.5
35.5
17.1
30.6
Up-country Tamil
0
7.5
36.2
42.5 10.6
0 10 20 30 40
%
41.6
Muslim
8.4
28.3
20.7
29.8
Tamil
2.8
4.6
Sinhala

nce that took place on April 17-19 in Muttur area in state your approval on the role played by the LTTE in
nal Breakdown
17.1
9.5
35.5
Approve
Neither approve nor disapprove
Disapprove
Don’t know/Not sure
Ethnic Breakdown
37.9
57.4
30 40 50 60 70
%
35.5
30.6
36.2
62
Don’t know/Not sure
28.3
41.6
Disapprove
Neither approve nor disapprove 29.8
Approve
42.5
Page 42

Page 46
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
If you are aware of the violence that took place on the Eastern Province, please state your approval on th ending these clashes?
National Breakdown
22.8
47.9
13.3
16
Ethnic Breakdown
16.2
47.9
National
16 13.3
22.8
48.3 18.2 15.1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
%
45
Up-country Tamil
2.1
13.4
37.4
41.4
Muslim
10
17.8
30.8
28.3
Tamil
4.2 3.5
58.6
Sinhala

nce that took place on April 17-19 in Muttur area in state your approval on the role played by the SLMM in
Breakdown
22.8
13.3
16
Approve
Neither approve nor disapprove
Disapprove
Don’t know/Not sure
Ethnic Breakdown
47.9
45
37.4
58.6
48.3
40 50 60 70
41.4
Don’t know/Not sure Disapprove Neither approve nor disapprove Approve
Page 43

Page 47
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
If you are aware of the violence that took place on the Eastern Province, please state your approval o political parties in ending these clashes?
National Breakdown
22.9
46.1
12.8
18.2
Ethnic Breakdown
National
12.8
18.2
22.9
Up-country Tamil
7.2
13.7
28.6
20.7 14
15.7
%
33.5
31.7
Muslim
10.3
12.9
Tamil
3.2
11.5
Sinhala
0 10 20 30 40

nce that took place on April 17-19 in Muttur area in state your approval on the role played by Muslim e clashes?
reakdown
22.9
12.8
Approve
Neither approve nor disapprove
Disapprove
Don’t know/Not sure
Ethnic Breakdown
46.1
51.4
30 40 50 60
%
45.6
33.5
31.7
47.3
Don’t know/Not sure Disapprove
45.1
Neither approve nor disapprove
28.6
Approve
Page 44

Page 48
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
If you are aware of the violence that took place on the Eastern Province, please state your approval on th community organisations of the area, in ending these c
C
EASEFIRE
National Breakdown
27.7
52
9.6
10.7
Ethnic Breakdown
20.4
52
National
10.7 9.6
27.7
54.2 12.5 10.6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
%
51.2
Up-country Tamil
0.3
12.8
35.8
36.8 Muslim
5.4
9.2
48.6
28.6 Tamil
2.8
4.6
58.6
Sinhala
A
GREEMENT

nce that took place on April 17-19 in Muttur area in state your approval on the role played by religious and he area, in ending these clashes?
l Breakdown
27.7
9.6
10.7
Approve
Neither approve nor disapprove
Disapprove
Don’t know/Not sure
Ethnic Breakdown
52
51.2
.8
6.8
Don’t know/Not sure Disapprove
48.6
Neither approve nor disapprove Approve
58.6
54.2
40 50 60 70
Page 45

Page 49
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
Do you agree with the statement that the Cease strengthened and expanded?
National Breakdown
36.7 47.3
16
Ethnic Breakdown
30.8
47.3 National
16
36.7
26.1 Up-country Tamil
7
36.4 Muslim
13.6
50.8 17.5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
%
49.6
18.6 Tamil
6.4
Sinhala

tement that the Ceasefire Agreement needs to be
Breakdown
36.7
Yes No Don't know/ Not sure
Ethnic Breakdown
47.3
36.7
75.1
50.8
40 50 60 70 80
%
66.8
6.4
Don't know/ Not sure 49.6
No Yes
Page 46

Page 50
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
C
OHABITATION
If you are aware of the May 9, 2003 decision by th Development Lotteries Board, do you approve of this
National Breakdown
30.6 41.3
28.1
Ethnic Breakdown
32.9
41.3 National
28.1
30.6
21.3 Up-country Tamil
15.8
31.6 Muslim
33.2
35.1
18.1 Tamil
8.4
44.4 Sinhala
22.4
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
%

9, 2003 decision by the President to take over the , do you approve of this decision?
reakdown
30.6
Approve Disapprove Don't know/Not sure
Ethnic Breakdown
.9
41.3
40 50 60 70 80
%
62.9
6
.2
44.4 35.1
Don't know/Not sure Disapprove Approve 72
Page 47

Page 51
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-Line Results
If you are aware of the May 9, 2003 decision by th Development Lotteries Board, what in your opinion the peace process?
National Berakdown
2.5
47.1
15.4
Will 35
Will
Will impa
Don
Ethnic Breakdown
2.7
35
National
15.4
2.5
35.1
Up-country Tamil
21.2
35
6.3
22.4
Muslim
38 38.3 0
21.2
Tamil
27.3
0.7
27.3
Sinhala
12
0 10 20 30 40
%

9, 2003 decision by the President to take over the d, what in your opinion will be the impact of this on
erakdown
47.1
Will have a positive impact
Will have no impact
Will have a negative impact
Don't know/ Not sure
Ethnic Breakdown
35
47.1
35.1 35
27.3
27.3
48.7
30 40 50 60
Don't know/ Not sure
38 38.3
Will have a negative impact
Will have no impact
Will have a positive 46.7
impact
Page 48

Page 52
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-line Results
Annex
District sample (weighted) distribution in May 2003
DISTRICT TOTAL Colombo 207 Gampaha 177 Kalutara 90 Kandy 101 Matale 34 Nuwara Eliya 51 Galle 78 Matara 59 Anuradhapura 57 Polonnaruwa 28 Kurunegala 115 Puttlam 54 Badulla 56 Monaragala 28 Kegalle 63 Amparai 42 Batticaloa 39 Trincomalee 31 Vavuniya 12 NATIONAL 1321
Ethnic sample (weighted) distribution in May 2003
ETHNICITY TOTAL Sinhala 1081 Tamil 90 Muslim 91 Up-country Tamil 59 NATIONAL 1321

Annex
istribution in May 2003
TOTAL 207 177 90 101 34 51 78 59 57 28 115 54 56 28 63 42 39 31 12 1321
tribution in May 2003
TOTAL 1081 90 91 59 1321
3
i

Page 53
Copyright © Social Indicator May 2003
Peace Confidence Index Top-line Results
Sampling Methodology
Given that the goal of the Peace Confidence Index (PCI) study i confidence levels towards the peace process over time it is e repetitively with equal pauses during the study. Thus conductin a clearly defined and constant sample frame during each phase o
The study is conducted using a structured questionnaire t approximately 1600 respondents during each phase of the stud the minimum ethnic diversity within the span of ten days of fie an individual’s opinion on the peace process is influenced by a n factor, which is the most important and influential, is the sole f this model.
The total sample is distributed among 22 administrative distr Amparai, Batticaloa, Trincomalee, Vavuniya and Mannar distric result of the prevailing conflict situation and logistical difficultie stratum is approximately equal to the population proportions sampled due to the ethnic heterogeneity but the over sampling sample.
A sample is allocated to a particular ethnicity within a district on particular ethnicity exceeds 9%. A Divisional Secretariat (DS) is using the Simple Random Sampling technique while the Grama selected randomly as the secondary sampling unit using the ‘G 1996’ published by the Department of Census and Statistics as t
To maintain the quality of the fieldwork and ensuring a maxim DS, enumerators are allowed to conduct a maximum of ten given GND the enumerator is advised to select a starting point using the random walk (right hand rule) technique in order households.
In the case of urban areas the interviewer is instructed to skip a thus resulting in the interview taking place at every alternative the respondent is chosen from the household using the ‘KRISH of the household has an equal chance of being selected to the PC
The PCI national level estimates are subject to a 3% error m noteworthy to mention here that the PCI model does not sup same level of precision.

ence Index (PCI) study is to measure the fluctuations in public rocess over time it is essential that the study be conducted e study. Thus conducting the study bi-monthly with the use of ame during each phase of the study ensures this fact.
uctured questionnaire that is administered to a sample of g each phase of the study. This sample is adequate to capture e span of ten days of fieldwork. Although it is undeniable that ocess is influenced by a number of factors, however the ethnic d influential, is the sole factor that has been accommodated in
g 22 administrative districts (strata) of Sri Lanka, but in the uniya and Mannar districts the entire area is not covered as a n and logistical difficulties. The sample size is assigned to each population proportions. However, some districts are over ty but the over sampling biases are eliminated by weighting the
nicity within a district only if the population proportion of that sional Secretariat (DS) is selected as the primary sampling unit nique while the Grama Niladhari Divisions (GND) in a DS are mpling unit using the ‘Grama Niladhari Divisions of Sri Lanka Census and Statistics as the sample frame.
rk and ensuring a maximum dispersion of the sample within a uct a maximum of ten interviews a day in a GND. Within a to select a starting point randomly and proceed with interviews ule) technique in order to assure the random selection of
er is instructed to skip a house while selecting the households, lace at every alternative household. As the final sampling unit, sehold using the ‘KRISH’ grid thus ensuring that each member f being selected to the PCI sample.
ubject to a 3% error margin with a .95 confidence level. It is PCI model does not support the regional level analysis at the
3
ii

Page 54
Social Indicator (SI) is an independent social resea conducts polls on socio-economic and political iss
Operating under the Board of Directors of Alternatives (CPA), SI was established in Septem longstanding vacuum for a permanent, profess polling facility in Sri Lanka on social and political is
Polling is an instrument of empowerment, a me majority of the public can express their opinions o Our mission is to conduct surveys on key social is a means through which public opinion can influ debate.
Published by:
Social Indicator Centre for Policy Alterna 105, 5th Lane, Colombo 3, Sri Lanka.
Tel: 370472 Email: c Fax: 370475 Web: h

independent social research organisation, which conomic and political issues.
oard of Directors of the Centre for Policy as established in September 1999, and filled a r a permanent, professional and independent a on social and political issues.
of empowerment, a means by which the silent express their opinions on issues affecting them. t surveys on key social issues, thereby providing public opinion can influence the public policy
Published by:
Social Indicator Centre for Policy Alternatives 105, 5th Lane, Colombo 3, Sri Lanka.
Tel: 370472 Email: cpapoll@diamond.lanka.net Fax: 370475 Web: http://www.cpalanka.org